Philosopher James Croft happens to think that absent background knowledge, “Aliens!” would be a weakly justified hypothesis.
I think he’s mistaken my emphasis in the specific car break-in examples I gave, namely that the burglars’ behavior was odd and unpredictable.
The wet-washcloth sensation of puppy tongue on baby cheeks is part of the baby’s evidence that Puppy exists.
Croft ultimately had the worse of the argument on substance, as I intend to show over several forthcoming posts.
If you are going to get a computer to achieve anything like understanding in some subject area, it needs a lot of knowledge.