Philosopher James Croft happens to think that absent background knowledge, “Aliens!” would be a weakly justified hypothesis.
I think he’s mistaken my emphasis in the specific car break-in examples I gave, namely that the burglars’ behavior was odd and unpredictable.
Stephen Meyer has aligned himself in spirit with the geologist Charles Lyell, who explained geological features “by reference to causes now in operation.”
The wet-washcloth sensation of puppy tongue on baby cheeks is part of the baby’s evidence that Puppy exists.
The upshot of the best modern biology and cosmology can be epitomized by changing just one word in physicist Steven Weinberg’s famous comment.